Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position a daily high of 34–35°C as the most likely outcome for Ankara on August 22 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes daytime solar heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in the region, where maximum temperatures average near 32–34°C, though recent model runs show slight warming consistent with observed trends. The 63% market-implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, while lower odds on 36°C or higher account for remaining forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from wind shifts. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 22 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 22 de agosto?
35°C 63%
34°C 33%
36°C 6%
33°C 2%
NOVO
$11,572 Vol.
NOVO
$11,572 Vol.
22 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
33%
35°C
63%
36°C
6%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 63%
34°C 33%
36°C 6%
33°C 2%
NOVO
$11,572 Vol.
NOVO
$11,572 Vol.
22 ago 2026
30°C or below
$222 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$698 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,595 Vol.
2%
34°C
$2,098 Vol.
33%
35°C
$2,361 Vol.
63%
36°C
$1,244 Vol.
6%
37°C
$522 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,396 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position a daily high of 34–35°C as the most likely outcome for Ankara on August 22 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes daytime solar heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in the region, where maximum temperatures average near 32–34°C, though recent model runs show slight warming consistent with observed trends. The 63% market-implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, while lower odds on 36°C or higher account for remaining forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from wind shifts. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,572Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position a daily high of 34–35°C as the most likely outcome for Ankara on August 22 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes daytime solar heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in the region, where maximum temperatures average near 32–34°C, though recent model runs show slight warming consistent with observed trends. The 63% market-implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, while lower odds on 36°C or higher account for remaining forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from wind shifts. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,572Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position a daily high of 34–35°C as the most likely outcome for Ankara on August 22 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes daytime solar heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in the region, where maximum temperatures average near 32–34°C, though recent model runs show slight warming consistent with observed trends. The 63% market-implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, while lower odds on 36°C or higher account for remaining forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from wind shifts. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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