Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 15 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 15 de julho?
37°C 31%
36°C 30%
35°C 18%
34°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jul 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
10%
35°C
18%
36°C
30%
37°C
31%
38°C
11%
39°C
6%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 31%
36°C 30%
35°C 18%
34°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jul 2026
31°C or below
$137 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$96 Vol.
1%
33°C
$50 Vol.
5%
34°C
$135 Vol.
10%
35°C
$61 Vol.
18%
36°C
$78 Vol.
30%
37°C
$28 Vol.
31%
38°C
$68 Vol.
11%
39°C
$158 Vol.
6%
40°C
$69 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$892Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$892Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Beijing's short-term numerical weather forecasts show a spread across 34–37°C for the July 15 daily maximum, reflecting model disagreement on the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high and monsoon moisture transport. Clear, subsiding air under a stronger ridge favors 36–37°C readings, while increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, or a slight southward rain-belt shift could cap the peak near 34–35°C. The urban heat-island effect and seasonal July climatology (historical midsummer highs clustering 31–35°C) underpin the market’s concentration around these brackets, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting limited potential for either strong cold advection or record heat in the current pattern. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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