Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures on July 13, with models showing potential moderate rainfall that could limit afternoon highs amid the region's typical subtropical monsoon patterns of high humidity and convective activity. Trader consensus clustering around 36–37°C reflects expectations of partly cloudy conditions allowing strong solar heating, while the spread to 38°C or higher accounts for drier scenarios and the lower probabilities for 32–35°C incorporate greater cloud cover or showers suppressing maxima. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture influx creates the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes as new model runs approach.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 13 de julho?
38°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$52,289 Vol.
$52,289 Vol.
29°C ou menos
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Sim
39°C ou mais
Não
38°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$52,289 Vol.
$52,289 Vol.
29°C ou menos
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Sim
39°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight uncertainty in peak temperatures on July 13, with models showing potential moderate rainfall that could limit afternoon highs amid the region's typical subtropical monsoon patterns of high humidity and convective activity. Trader consensus clustering around 36–37°C reflects expectations of partly cloudy conditions allowing strong solar heating, while the spread to 38°C or higher accounts for drier scenarios and the lower probabilities for 32–35°C incorporate greater cloud cover or showers suppressing maxima. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, but short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture influx creates the narrow differentiation among leading outcomes as new model runs approach.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions