Recent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 27 de julho?
31°C 27%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
33°C 16%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
13%
30°C
24%
31°C
27%
32°C
20%
33°C
16%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
2%
31°C 27%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
33°C 16%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
13%
30°C
24%
31°C
27%
32°C
20%
33°C
16%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a cooldown for Chengdu on July 27, 2026, driven by strong thunderstorms, overcast skies, and increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon, following several days of extreme heat exceeding 36°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime maxima near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and precipitation limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting model divergence in exact rainfall timing and humidity levels that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how this transient atmospheric pattern differentiates near-term resolution criteria. Updated model runs and local observations through July 26 will refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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