Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 25 around 36–39 °C because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and local observatories converge on a daytime high near 37 °C under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms. In Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak July heat stems from strong solar insolation, high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and the urban heat-island effect; however, afternoon convective clouds or showers can shave 1–2 °C off maximum readings while clear intervals allow brief spikes toward 39 °C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping the distribution tight and explaining why lower or extreme outcomes (below 35 °C or 40 °C+) carry minimal implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 25 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 25 de julho?
37°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$86,640 Vol.
$86,640 Vol.
25 jul 2026
31°C ou menos
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Sim
38°C
Não
39°C
Não
40°C
Não
41°C ou mais
Não
37°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$86,640 Vol.
$86,640 Vol.
25 jul 2026
31°C ou menos
$2,401 Vol.
Não
32°C
$1,088 Vol.
Não
33°C
$1,876 Vol.
Não
34°C
$5,784 Vol.
Não
35°C
$5,681 Vol.
Não
36°C
$7,877 Vol.
Não
37°C
$10,540 Vol.
Sim
38°C
$8,311 Vol.
Não
39°C
$14,488 Vol.
Não
40°C
$6,751 Vol.
Não
41°C ou mais
$21,843 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 25 around 36–39 °C because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and local observatories converge on a daytime high near 37 °C under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms. In Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak July heat stems from strong solar insolation, high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and the urban heat-island effect; however, afternoon convective clouds or showers can shave 1–2 °C off maximum readings while clear intervals allow brief spikes toward 39 °C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping the distribution tight and explaining why lower or extreme outcomes (below 35 °C or 40 °C+) carry minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 23, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$86,640Data de Término
25 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 25 around 36–39 °C because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and local observatories converge on a daytime high near 37 °C under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms. In Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak July heat stems from strong solar insolation, high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and the urban heat-island effect; however, afternoon convective clouds or showers can shave 1–2 °C off maximum readings while clear intervals allow brief spikes toward 39 °C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping the distribution tight and explaining why lower or extreme outcomes (below 35 °C or 40 °C+) carry minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86,640Data de Término
25 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 25 around 36–39 °C because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and local observatories converge on a daytime high near 37 °C under partly cloudy skies with possible thunderstorms. In Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak July heat stems from strong solar insolation, high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and the urban heat-island effect; however, afternoon convective clouds or showers can shave 1–2 °C off maximum readings while clear intervals allow brief spikes toward 39 °C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping the distribution tight and explaining why lower or extreme outcomes (below 35 °C or 40 °C+) carry minimal implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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