Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Istanbul on July 25, 2026, with highs most likely in the 22–24°C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a northerly flow suppressing the typical late-July peak. Seasonal baselines show afternoon maxima near 28–30°C under clear, stable high pressure, but current guidance highlights a transient Atlantic or Black Sea influence introducing moisture and moderating temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C (42.5%) and 22°C (31%), while probabilities for 25°C+ remain low due to limited warming potential before the system departs. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima and any land-sea breeze effects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 25 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 25 de julho?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$61,165 Vol.
$61,165 Vol.
25 jul 2026
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$61,165 Vol.
$61,165 Vol.
25 jul 2026
18°C ou menos
$964 Vol.
Não
19°C
$2,475 Vol.
Não
20°C
$788 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,808 Vol.
Não
22°C
$14,668 Vol.
Não
23°C
$15,669 Vol.
Sim
24°C
$11,944 Vol.
Não
25°C
$3,353 Vol.
Não
26°C
$3,383 Vol.
Não
27°C
$2,626 Vol.
Não
28°C ou mais
$3,487 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Istanbul on July 25, 2026, with highs most likely in the 22–24°C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a northerly flow suppressing the typical late-July peak. Seasonal baselines show afternoon maxima near 28–30°C under clear, stable high pressure, but current guidance highlights a transient Atlantic or Black Sea influence introducing moisture and moderating temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C (42.5%) and 22°C (31%), while probabilities for 25°C+ remain low due to limited warming potential before the system departs. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima and any land-sea breeze effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$61,165Data de Término
25 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Istanbul on July 25, 2026, with highs most likely in the 22–24°C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a northerly flow suppressing the typical late-July peak. Seasonal baselines show afternoon maxima near 28–30°C under clear, stable high pressure, but current guidance highlights a transient Atlantic or Black Sea influence introducing moisture and moderating temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C (42.5%) and 22°C (31%), while probabilities for 25°C+ remain low due to limited warming potential before the system departs. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima and any land-sea breeze effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,165Data de Término
25 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Istanbul on July 25, 2026, with highs most likely in the 22–24°C range, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a northerly flow suppressing the typical late-July peak. Seasonal baselines show afternoon maxima near 28–30°C under clear, stable high pressure, but current guidance highlights a transient Atlantic or Black Sea influence introducing moisture and moderating temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C (42.5%) and 22°C (31%), while probabilities for 25°C+ remain low due to limited warming potential before the system departs. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima and any land-sea breeze effects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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