Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 26 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 26 de julho?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$75,529 Vol.
$75,529 Vol.
26 jul 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$75,529 Vol.
$75,529 Vol.
26 jul 2026
4°C or below
$5,437 Vol.
No
5°C
$299 Vol.
No
6°C
$647 Vol.
No
7°C
$1,592 Vol.
No
8°C
$2,806 Vol.
No
9°C
$12,899 Vol.
No
10°C
$20,395 Vol.
Yes
11°C
$17,978 Vol.
No
12°C
$8,944 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,520 Vol.
No
14°C or higher
$1,013 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$75,529Data de Término
26 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75,529Data de Término
26 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions