Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
25°C or higher 36%
22°C 34%
24°C 27%
23°C 22%
15°C or below
11%
16°C
13%
17°C
14%
18°C
16%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
21%
22°C
34%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
36%
25°C or higher 36%
22°C 34%
24°C 27%
23°C 22%
15°C or below
11%
16°C
13%
17°C
14%
18°C
16%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
21%
22°C
34%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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