Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs expected near 30–32°C on July 19 amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble runs indicate limited day-to-day variability due to stable steering patterns, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages for the city hover around 32°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to 30–32°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 34°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through July 18 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 19 de julho?
33°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,111 Vol.
$87,111 Vol.
28°C ou menos
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C ou mais
Não
33°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$87,111 Vol.
$87,111 Vol.
28°C ou menos
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs expected near 30–32°C on July 19 amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble runs indicate limited day-to-day variability due to stable steering patterns, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages for the city hover around 32°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to 30–32°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 34°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through July 18 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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