The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 21 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 21 de julho?
30°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$137,308 Vol.
$137,308 Vol.
21 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Sim
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C ou mais
Não
30°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$137,308 Vol.
$137,308 Vol.
21 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
$431 Vol.
Não
25°C
$7,011 Vol.
Não
26°C
$3,613 Vol.
Não
27°C
$6,710 Vol.
Não
28°C
$13,909 Vol.
Não
29°C
$13,809 Vol.
Não
30°C
$24,274 Vol.
Sim
31°C
$26,096 Vol.
Não
32°C
$16,210 Vol.
Não
33°C
$14,906 Vol.
Não
34°C ou mais
$10,339 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$137,308Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$137,308Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C (33%) and 30°C (32%) stem from ensemble forecast spreads in models such as ECMWF and GFS, which currently show Milan’s maximum temperature on July 21 clustering near these values amid typical midsummer high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley. Daytime radiative heating under clear skies, combined with urban heat-island effects and light southerly flow from the Mediterranean, supports this range, while minor differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology for Milan places average daily highs near 29°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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