Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 21 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 21 de julho?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$228,871 Vol.
$228,871 Vol.
21 jul 2026
71°F ou menos
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Sim
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
90°F ou mais
Não
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$228,871 Vol.
$228,871 Vol.
21 jul 2026
71°F ou menos
$10,900 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$15,248 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$23,724 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$20,138 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$23,112 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$35,195 Vol.
Não
82-83°F
$26,958 Vol.
Sim
84-85°F
$17,268 Vol.
Não
30-31°C
$31,283 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$18,349 Vol.
Não
90°F ou mais
$6,695 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Volume
$228,871Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$228,871Data de Término
21 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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