Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate partly sunny conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on July 22, supporting a daytime minimum in the upper 60s amid persistent cloud cover and moisture from an approaching frontal system. Cooler air advection behind the boundary, combined with reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favors temperatures near or below 70°F over typical July climatology. Model consensus points to limited overnight recovery, elevating implied probabilities for the 65°F-or-below bin as traders weigh the timing of clearing skies and any further forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 22 de julho?
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F ou menos <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,051 Vol.
$16,051 Vol.
65°F ou menos
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Sim
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84°F ou mais
Não
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F ou menos <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,051 Vol.
$16,051 Vol.
65°F ou menos
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Sim
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate partly sunny conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on July 22, supporting a daytime minimum in the upper 60s amid persistent cloud cover and moisture from an approaching frontal system. Cooler air advection behind the boundary, combined with reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favors temperatures near or below 70°F over typical July climatology. Model consensus points to limited overnight recovery, elevating implied probabilities for the 65°F-or-below bin as traders weigh the timing of clearing skies and any further forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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