Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 22 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 22 de julho?
14°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$84,757 Vol.
$84,757 Vol.
22 jul 2026
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Sim
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
14°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$84,757 Vol.
$84,757 Vol.
22 jul 2026
9°C ou menos
$3,151 Vol.
Não
10°C
$446 Vol.
Não
11°C
$4,300 Vol.
Não
12°C
$10,101 Vol.
Não
13°C
$23,607 Vol.
Não
14°C
$16,768 Vol.
Sim
15°C
$17,632 Vol.
Não
16°C
$7,044 Vol.
Não
17°C
$1,041 Vol.
Não
18°C
$291 Vol.
Não
19°C ou mais
$376 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$84,757Data de Término
22 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,757Data de Término
22 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions