Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris em 24 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris em 24 de julho?
14°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,515 Vol.
$17,515 Vol.
24 jul 2026
10°C ou menos
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Sim
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C ou mais
Não
14°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,515 Vol.
$17,515 Vol.
24 jul 2026
10°C ou menos
$468 Vol.
Não
11°C
$822 Vol.
Não
12°C
$1,220 Vol.
Não
13°C
$1,993 Vol.
Não
14°C
$6,832 Vol.
Sim
15°C
$2,011 Vol.
Não
16°C
$1,618 Vol.
Não
17°C
$1,164 Vol.
Não
18°C
$588 Vol.
Não
19°C
$416 Vol.
Não
20°C ou mais
$384 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,515Data de Término
24 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,515Data de Término
24 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions