Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Busan on April 19 at 30% implied probability, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicating daytime highs near 21-23°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Recent developments include an unusual mid-April heatwave peaking at 27°C around April 13, followed by cooling to today's 21°C maximum amid variable spring patterns and big temperature swings from passing fronts. High uncertainty stems from divergent model runs on cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential sea breezes moderating coastal temps, and upper-level ridges versus troughs; historical April averages hover at 18-19°C. Key upcoming KMA updates twice daily could refine odds ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 19?
22°C 31%
23°C 23%
21°C 15%
25°C 11%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
19%
22°C
31%
23°C
23%
24°C
11%
25°C
11%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
5%
22°C 31%
23°C 23%
21°C 15%
25°C 11%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
19%
22°C
31%
23°C
23%
24°C
11%
25°C
11%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Busan on April 19 at 30% implied probability, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts indicating daytime highs near 21-23°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Recent developments include an unusual mid-April heatwave peaking at 27°C around April 13, followed by cooling to today's 21°C maximum amid variable spring patterns and big temperature swings from passing fronts. High uncertainty stems from divergent model runs on cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential sea breezes moderating coastal temps, and upper-level ridges versus troughs; historical April averages hover at 18-19°C. Key upcoming KMA updates twice daily could refine odds ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions