The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
22°C 33%
20°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
16 abr 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
15%
20°C
32%
21°C
30%
22°C
33%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
3%
22°C 33%
20°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
16 abr 2026
16°C or below
$67 Vol.
2%
17°C
$33 Vol.
2%
18°C
$47 Vol.
9%
19°C
$6 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
32%
21°C
$0 Vol.
30%
22°C
$0 Vol.
33%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C or higher
$19 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$173Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$173Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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