National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high temperature of 76°F at O'Hare International Airport today under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 54°F or higher. Current observations already show midday readings near 79°F, aligning with model consensus from recent GFS and NAM runs that indicate peak heating this afternoon amid low cloud cover and high pressure dominance. Historical April 21 normals hover around 61°F, making sub-54°F outcomes climatologically improbable without an unforeseen cold front or marine influence, which satellite imagery and upper-air analyses rule out; resolution awaits official daily maximum from NOAA archives.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 21 de abril?
54°F ou mais 100.0%
35°F ou menos <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$143,941 Vol.
$143,941 Vol.
35°F ou menos
Não
36-37°F
Não
38-39°F
Não
40-41°F
Não
42-43°F
Não
44-45°F
Não
46-47°F
Não
48-49°F
Não
50-51°F
Não
52-53°F
Não
54°F ou mais
Sim
54°F ou mais 100.0%
35°F ou menos <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$143,941 Vol.
$143,941 Vol.
35°F ou menos
Não
36-37°F
Não
38-39°F
Não
40-41°F
Não
42-43°F
Não
44-45°F
Não
46-47°F
Não
48-49°F
Não
50-51°F
Não
52-53°F
Não
54°F ou mais
Sim
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high temperature of 76°F at O'Hare International Airport today under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 54°F or higher. Current observations already show midday readings near 79°F, aligning with model consensus from recent GFS and NAM runs that indicate peak heating this afternoon amid low cloud cover and high pressure dominance. Historical April 21 normals hover around 61°F, making sub-54°F outcomes climatologically improbable without an unforeseen cold front or marine influence, which satellite imagery and upper-air analyses rule out; resolution awaits official daily maximum from NOAA archives.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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