Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 21 de julho?
106-107°F 100.0%
99°F ou menos <1%
100-101°F <1%
102-103°F <1%
$84,835 Vol.
$84,835 Vol.
99°F ou menos
Não
100-101°F
Não
102-103°F
Não
104-105°F
Não
106-107°F
Sim
108-109°F
Não
110-111°F
Não
112-113°F
Não
114-115°F
Não
116-117°F
Não
118°F ou mais
Não
106-107°F 100.0%
99°F ou menos <1%
100-101°F <1%
102-103°F <1%
$84,835 Vol.
$84,835 Vol.
99°F ou menos
Não
100-101°F
Não
102-103°F
Não
104-105°F
Não
106-107°F
Sim
108-109°F
Não
110-111°F
Não
112-113°F
Não
114-115°F
Não
116-117°F
Não
118°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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