Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecasts point to daytime maxima of 30–31°C on July 7 under typical early-July subtropical conditions featuring light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover. These values align with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes because small differences in insolation, timing of any showers, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the July–September outlook raise the chance of brief clears that could push readings to 33°C or higher, while increased monsoon moisture or stronger winds favor the 28–29°C range. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 7 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 7 de julho?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$281,831 Vol.
$281,831 Vol.
7 jul 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$281,831 Vol.
$281,831 Vol.
7 jul 2026
23°C or below
$2,540 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,829 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,777 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,348 Vol.
No
27°C
$28,865 Vol.
No
28°C
$80,612 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$41,888 Vol.
No
30°C
$39,108 Vol.
No
31°C
$23,728 Vol.
No
32°C
$20,396 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$28,740 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecasts point to daytime maxima of 30–31°C on July 7 under typical early-July subtropical conditions featuring light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover. These values align with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes because small differences in insolation, timing of any showers, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the July–September outlook raise the chance of brief clears that could push readings to 33°C or higher, while increased monsoon moisture or stronger winds favor the 28–29°C range. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$281,831Data de Término
7 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecasts point to daytime maxima of 30–31°C on July 7 under typical early-July subtropical conditions featuring light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover. These values align with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes because small differences in insolation, timing of any showers, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the July–September outlook raise the chance of brief clears that could push readings to 33°C or higher, while increased monsoon moisture or stronger winds favor the 28–29°C range. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$281,831Data de Término
7 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecasts point to daytime maxima of 30–31°C on July 7 under typical early-July subtropical conditions featuring light southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover. These values align with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes because small differences in insolation, timing of any showers, or urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the July–September outlook raise the chance of brief clears that could push readings to 33°C or higher, while increased monsoon moisture or stronger winds favor the 28–29°C range. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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