Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 14, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and Marmara that limit daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions. This setup aligns with typical mid-July variability, where Aegean and Bosphorus breezes often cap peaks below the 29°C climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects latest ensemble runs showing limited warming potential, while spread across 25–28°C brackets captures remaining uncertainty from possible wind shifts or cloud cover in the final 48-hour period. Official updates from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 14 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 14 de julho?
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$49,552 Vol.
$49,552 Vol.
14 jul 2026
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$49,552 Vol.
$49,552 Vol.
14 jul 2026
21°C ou menos
$2,924 Vol.
Não
22°C
$2,730 Vol.
Não
23°C
$8,709 Vol.
Não
24°C
$7,652 Vol.
Não
25°C
$15,075 Vol.
Sim
26°C
$4,147 Vol.
Não
27°C
$2,754 Vol.
Não
28°C
$2,232 Vol.
Não
29°C
$1,921 Vol.
Não
30°C
$1,077 Vol.
Não
31°C ou mais
$331 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 14, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and Marmara that limit daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions. This setup aligns with typical mid-July variability, where Aegean and Bosphorus breezes often cap peaks below the 29°C climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects latest ensemble runs showing limited warming potential, while spread across 25–28°C brackets captures remaining uncertainty from possible wind shifts or cloud cover in the final 48-hour period. Official updates from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$49,552Data de Término
14 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 14, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and Marmara that limit daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions. This setup aligns with typical mid-July variability, where Aegean and Bosphorus breezes often cap peaks below the 29°C climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects latest ensemble runs showing limited warming potential, while spread across 25–28°C brackets captures remaining uncertainty from possible wind shifts or cloud cover in the final 48-hour period. Official updates from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,552Data de Término
14 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 14, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and Marmara that limit daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions. This setup aligns with typical mid-July variability, where Aegean and Bosphorus breezes often cap peaks below the 29°C climatological average. Trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome reflects latest ensemble runs showing limited warming potential, while spread across 25–28°C brackets captures remaining uncertainty from possible wind shifts or cloud cover in the final 48-hour period. Official updates from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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