Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 28, driven by official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport station confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C amid hazy conditions and northwest breezes up to 20 mph that capped heating potential. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting upper-level stability and coastal influences typical for late-April in the Red Sea region, where daily highs average 34–36°C. Final National Center of Meteorology reports are pending, but a realistic challenge would require anomalous clearing and radiative heating for a late spike to 35°C or above—unlikely with sunset approaching and declining solar insolation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 28?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,265 Vol.
$22,265 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,265 Vol.
$22,265 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 28, driven by official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport station confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C amid hazy conditions and northwest breezes up to 20 mph that capped heating potential. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting upper-level stability and coastal influences typical for late-April in the Red Sea region, where daily highs average 34–36°C. Final National Center of Meteorology reports are pending, but a realistic challenge would require anomalous clearing and radiative heating for a late spike to 35°C or above—unlikely with sunset approaching and declining solar insolation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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