Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jeddah em 6 de julho?
39°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$76,290 Vol.
$76,290 Vol.
31°C ou menos
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C
Sim
40°C
Não
41°C ou mais
Não
39°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$76,290 Vol.
$76,290 Vol.
31°C ou menos
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C
Sim
40°C
Não
41°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent model runs from global ensembles reveal mixed signals for Jeddah’s July 6 maximum, with the 30% market-implied probability on 41 °C or higher reflecting persistent spread between drier continental flow favoring peaks near or above 40 °C and Red Sea moisture that could cap readings in the upper 30s. Key variables include the strength and timing of northwesterly winds modulating marine layer intrusion, afternoon cloud cover reducing insolation, and dew-point trends that influence the diurnal temperature range. Saudi Meteorological Authority short-range guidance and regional high-resolution updates expected within 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution, while climatological July averages near 38 °C provide the baseline against which deviations are measured.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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