Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi em 5 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Karachi em 5 de julho?
34°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,828 Vol.
$61,828 Vol.
5 jul 2026
28°C ou menos
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Sim
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C ou mais
Não
34°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,828 Vol.
$61,828 Vol.
5 jul 2026
28°C ou menos
$1,326 Vol.
Não
29°C
$2,401 Vol.
Não
30°C
$3,083 Vol.
Não
31°C
$2,818 Vol.
Não
32°C
$2,921 Vol.
Não
33°C
$17,283 Vol.
Não
34°C
$8,921 Vol.
Sim
35°C
$11,212 Vol.
Não
36°C
$3,612 Vol.
Não
37°C
$4,531 Vol.
Não
38°C ou mais
$3,720 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$61,828Data de Término
5 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,828Data de Término
5 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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