With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders are assessing the narrow range of short-term variables expected to set Kuala Lumpur’s June 25 peak under typical southwest monsoon conditions. Equatorial humidity, variable cloud cover from localized convection, and the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C to official readings, while diurnal heating rates and afternoon showers determine whether the maximum reaches or stays below 33°C. Current ENSO-neutral patterns show no strong regional anomaly, leaving model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind flow as the main sources of uncertainty. Updated Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 25?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$64,557 Vol.
$64,557 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$64,557 Vol.
$64,557 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders are assessing the narrow range of short-term variables expected to set Kuala Lumpur’s June 25 peak under typical southwest monsoon conditions. Equatorial humidity, variable cloud cover from localized convection, and the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C to official readings, while diurnal heating rates and afternoon showers determine whether the maximum reaches or stays below 33°C. Current ENSO-neutral patterns show no strong regional anomaly, leaving model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind flow as the main sources of uncertainty. Updated Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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