Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 6 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 6 de julho?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$171,458 Vol.
$171,458 Vol.
6 jul 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$171,458 Vol.
$171,458 Vol.
6 jul 2026
26°C or below
$4,253 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,492 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,335 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,371 Vol.
No
30°C
$18,036 Vol.
No
31°C
$26,449 Vol.
No
32°C
$29,675 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$26,972 Vol.
No
34°C
$24,673 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,233 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$5,968 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$171,458Data de Término
6 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$171,458Data de Término
6 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts point to building high pressure over northwest Europe, promoting warm southerly flow and clear skies that support peak temperatures near 30–31°C in London on July 6. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and subsidence warming, though slight differences in the precise position of the ridge and any residual Atlantic moisture create spread across models, with some runs capping the maximum at 29°C and others briefly touching 32°C. Current trader positioning aligns closely with these central tendencies while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour convective details and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions