The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 21 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 21 de maio?
24°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$152,757 Vol.
$152,757 Vol.
21 mai 2026
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
24°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$152,757 Vol.
$152,757 Vol.
21 mai 2026
18°C ou menos
$7,172 Vol.
Não
19°C
$3,086 Vol.
Não
20°C
$4,606 Vol.
Não
21°C
$10,092 Vol.
Não
22°C
$26,708 Vol.
Não
23°C
$25,723 Vol.
Não
24°C
$27,046 Vol.
Sim
25°C
$27,207 Vol.
Não
26°C
$13,458 Vol.
Não
27°C
$4,948 Vol.
Não
28°C ou mais
$2,713 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$152,757Data de Término
21 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$152,757Data de Término
21 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions