Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 24 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 24 de junho?
21°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$101,836 Vol.
$101,836 Vol.
24 jun 2026
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Sim
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
21°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$101,836 Vol.
$101,836 Vol.
24 jun 2026
18°C ou menos
$211 Vol.
Não
19°C
$7,962 Vol.
Não
20°C
$4,383 Vol.
Não
21°C
$54,382 Vol.
Sim
22°C
$12,954 Vol.
Não
23°C
$6,501 Vol.
Não
24°C
$8,668 Vol.
Não
25°C
$2,865 Vol.
Não
26°C
$1,833 Vol.
Não
27°C
$1,888 Vol.
Não
28°C ou mais
$188 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
Volume
$101,836Data de Término
24 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101,836Data de Término
24 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Mexico City points to a highest temperature on June 24 near 22–24 °C amid the onset of the rainy season, which has driven the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima several degrees below late-spring peaks, while historical June averages of 24–25 °C and the last week’s observed highs in the same range reinforce this envelope. Updated short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for outcomes outside 21–25 °C below 10 % each. Traders are therefore weighting the most likely forecast envelope rather than outlier model runs, with subtle differences in predicted cloud thickness, timing of showers, and boundary-layer moisture determining the narrow spread between 22 °C and 24 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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