Official meteorological observations for Mexico City on June 8 recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C at the primary reporting station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This measurement, drawn from standardized surface observations under consistent elevation and urban heat-island conditions typical for the Valley of Mexico, matches climatological norms for early June when daytime highs commonly range 22–26°C. With resolution hinging on verified station data rather than models or forecasts, the 100% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment that no alternative source or revision will alter the recorded peak. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-event quality-control adjustments occur, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and timeframe.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 8 de junho?
24°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$26,746 Vol.
$26,746 Vol.
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
24°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$26,746 Vol.
$26,746 Vol.
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 6, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official meteorological observations for Mexico City on June 8 recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C at the primary reporting station, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. This measurement, drawn from standardized surface observations under consistent elevation and urban heat-island conditions typical for the Valley of Mexico, matches climatological norms for early June when daytime highs commonly range 22–26°C. With resolution hinging on verified station data rather than models or forecasts, the 100% implied probability reflects traders’ assessment that no alternative source or revision will alter the recorded peak. Minor uncertainty remains only if post-event quality-control adjustments occur, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare for this location and timeframe.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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