Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 10?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,810 Vol.
$28,810 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,810 Vol.
$28,810 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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