Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 24?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,113 Vol.
$10,113 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,113 Vol.
$10,113 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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