Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
4°C 100.0%
-1°C or below <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$73,483 Vol.
$73,483 Vol.
19 abr 2026
-1°C or below
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
Yes
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C or higher
No
4°C 100.0%
-1°C or below <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$73,483 Vol.
$73,483 Vol.
19 abr 2026
-1°C or below
$1,631 Vol.
No
0°C
$1,132 Vol.
No
1°C
$1,428 Vol.
No
2°C
$2,404 Vol.
No
3°C
$5,748 Vol.
No
4°C
$12,948 Vol.
Yes
5°C
$9,185 Vol.
No
6°C
$8,061 Vol.
No
7°C
$11,479 Vol.
No
8°C
$6,492 Vol.
No
9°C or higher
$12,975 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$73,483Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,483Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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