Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 24 de agosto?
20°C 36%
25°C ou mais 34%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C ou menos
4%
16°C
11%
17°C
10%
18°C
20%
19°C
23%
20°C
36%
21°C
16%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C ou mais
34%
20°C 36%
25°C ou mais 34%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
4%
16°C
$10 Vol.
11%
17°C
$0 Vol.
10%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
23%
20°C
$9 Vol.
36%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$20 Vol.
8%
23°C
$10 Vol.
7%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$69Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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