Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 6 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 6 de julho?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$140,564 Vol.
$140,564 Vol.
6 jul 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$140,564 Vol.
$140,564 Vol.
6 jul 2026
29°C or below
$10,052 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,296 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,434 Vol.
No
32°C
$21,085 Vol.
No
33°C
$28,815 Vol.
No
34°C
$25,082 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$13,497 Vol.
No
36°C
$12,770 Vol.
No
37°C
$8,215 Vol.
No
38°C
$6,592 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$2,727 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$140,564Data de Término
6 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140,564Data de Término
6 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection over northern France, with Paris daytime maxima most likely peaking at 33–34°C on July 6 amid mostly clear skies and light winds. Following the late-June heatwave that produced national records near 40°C, residual warmth and dry soils are sustaining elevated temperatures, though increasing model spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble members cluster tightly around these values, with lower odds for 32°C or below tied to any unexpected marine influence and slim chances above 35°C requiring stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and Meteo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of the July 6 maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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