Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 7?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 7?
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$42,033 Vol.
$42,033 Vol.
7 mai 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$42,033 Vol.
$42,033 Vol.
7 mai 2026
47°F or below
$2,715 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,437 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,266 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$3,221 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,780 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,769 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$3,053 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$5,967 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$6,483 Vol.
Yes
64-65°F
$4,425 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$8,917 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$42,033Data de Término
7 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,033Data de Término
7 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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