Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de maio?
29°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,592 Vol.
$60,592 Vol.
2 mai 2026
23°C ou menos
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C ou mais
Não
29°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,592 Vol.
$60,592 Vol.
2 mai 2026
23°C ou menos
$2,605 Vol.
Não
24°C
$1,769 Vol.
Não
25°C
$1,864 Vol.
Não
26°C
$5,507 Vol.
Não
27°C
$4,859 Vol.
Não
28°C
$8,079 Vol.
Não
29°C
$7,633 Vol.
Sim
30°C
$15,290 Vol.
Não
31°C
$4,675 Vol.
Não
32°C
$3,873 Vol.
Não
33°C ou mais
$4,438 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$60,592Data de Término
2 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,592Data de Término
2 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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