Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 19 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 19 de abril?
24°C ou mais 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$353,701 Vol.
$353,701 Vol.
19 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Sim
24°C ou mais 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$353,701 Vol.
$353,701 Vol.
19 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
$32,172 Vol.
Não
15°C
$13,414 Vol.
Não
16°C
$22,920 Vol.
Não
17°C
$27,907 Vol.
Não
18°C
$28,434 Vol.
Não
19°C
$28,781 Vol.
Não
20°C
$39,783 Vol.
Não
21°C
$39,968 Vol.
Não
22°C
$31,822 Vol.
Não
23°C
$28,026 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$60,475 Vol.
Sim
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$353,701Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$353,701Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions