Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 46.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula following an unseasonal heat wave that pushed highs to 26–28°C through April 16, as reported by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Warm southerly winds and above-average temperatures—6°C warmer than April norms of 17–20°C—have sustained mild conditions, with recent KMA short-term forecasts indicating partly cloudy skies and peak afternoon heating in the low-to-mid 20s°C range. However, model ensembles show divergence on cloud cover and exact wind shear, creating uncertainty around whether highs will top 24°C; watch KMA's daily 06:00 and 18:00 updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 19 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 19 de abril?
24°C ou mais 48%
23°C 20%
22°C 17%
21°C 12%
NOVO
$21,155 Vol.
NOVO
$21,155 Vol.
19 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
12%
22°C
17%
23°C
20%
24°C ou mais
48%
24°C ou mais 48%
23°C 20%
22°C 17%
21°C 12%
NOVO
$21,155 Vol.
NOVO
$21,155 Vol.
19 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
$2,280 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$4,503 Vol.
1%
16°C
$3,396 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,448 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,254 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,579 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,295 Vol.
6%
21°C
$910 Vol.
12%
22°C
$762 Vol.
17%
23°C
$821 Vol.
20%
24°C ou mais
$1,906 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 46.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula following an unseasonal heat wave that pushed highs to 26–28°C through April 16, as reported by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Warm southerly winds and above-average temperatures—6°C warmer than April norms of 17–20°C—have sustained mild conditions, with recent KMA short-term forecasts indicating partly cloudy skies and peak afternoon heating in the low-to-mid 20s°C range. However, model ensembles show divergence on cloud cover and exact wind shear, creating uncertainty around whether highs will top 24°C; watch KMA's daily 06:00 and 18:00 updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$21,155Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 46.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula following an unseasonal heat wave that pushed highs to 26–28°C through April 16, as reported by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Warm southerly winds and above-average temperatures—6°C warmer than April norms of 17–20°C—have sustained mild conditions, with recent KMA short-term forecasts indicating partly cloudy skies and peak afternoon heating in the low-to-mid 20s°C range. However, model ensembles show divergence on cloud cover and exact wind shear, creating uncertainty around whether highs will top 24°C; watch KMA's daily 06:00 and 18:00 updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,155Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 46.5% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, driven by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula following an unseasonal heat wave that pushed highs to 26–28°C through April 16, as reported by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Warm southerly winds and above-average temperatures—6°C warmer than April norms of 17–20°C—have sustained mild conditions, with recent KMA short-term forecasts indicating partly cloudy skies and peak afternoon heating in the low-to-mid 20s°C range. However, model ensembles show divergence on cloud cover and exact wind shear, creating uncertainty around whether highs will top 24°C; watch KMA's daily 06:00 and 18:00 updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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