Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on June 5 point to a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Early June marks the onset of the Meiyu plum rain season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 25–28°C. Model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant warming advection, aligning with verified observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies or localized subsidence strengthens, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before final readings are recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$154,805 Vol.
$154,805 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$154,805 Vol.
$154,805 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on June 5 point to a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Early June marks the onset of the Meiyu plum rain season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 25–28°C. Model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant warming advection, aligning with verified observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies or localized subsidence strengthens, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before final readings are recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions