Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 10 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 10 de julho?
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$144,327 Vol.
$144,327 Vol.
10 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$144,327 Vol.
$144,327 Vol.
10 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
$1,438 Vol.
Não
27°C
$1,871 Vol.
Não
28°C
$1,655 Vol.
Não
29°C
$12,205 Vol.
Não
30°C
$9,642 Vol.
Não
31°C
$10,385 Vol.
Não
32°C
$57,100 Vol.
Não
33°C
$15,557 Vol.
Sim
34°C
$13,768 Vol.
Não
35°C
$7,419 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$13,286 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$144,327Data de Término
10 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$144,327Data de Término
10 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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