**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 18 de julho?
35°C 100.0%
30°C ou menos <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,778 Vol.
$40,778 Vol.
30°C ou menos
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Sim
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C
Não
40°C ou mais
Não
35°C 100.0%
30°C ou menos <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,778 Vol.
$40,778 Vol.
30°C ou menos
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Sim
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C
Não
40°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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