Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 7 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 7 de julho?
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$159,625 Vol.
$159,625 Vol.
7 jul 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$159,625 Vol.
$159,625 Vol.
7 jul 2026
22°C or below
$27,731 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,980 Vol.
No
24°C
$31,747 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$20,669 Vol.
No
26°C
$16,942 Vol.
No
27°C
$18,368 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,005 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,775 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,853 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,745 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$4,810 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$159,625Data de Término
7 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$159,625Data de Término
7 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions