**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the near-certain outcome for Tokyo’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecast and ensemble model guidance.** A modest subtropical ridge combined with lingering Baiu-season cloud cover is limiting solar heating, producing daytime maxima consistent with 21–22°C at the Otemachi observation site—the official resolution source. This aligns with early-June climatology when frontal activity often caps temperatures several degrees below the monthly normal of ~26°C. The market-implied probability above 99% for 22°C incorporates real capital at risk and accounts for minor remaining uncertainty in afternoon mixing or localized clearing. An unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper ridge build could allow readings to reach 23–24°C, though current model consensus and ongoing JMA updates make such shifts unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 15 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 15 de junho?
22°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,418 Vol.
$124,418 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
22°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,418 Vol.
$124,418 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C ou menos
$3,194 Vol.
Não
18°C
$4,979 Vol.
Não
19°C
$6,813 Vol.
Não
20°C
$29,308 Vol.
Não
21°C
$17,634 Vol.
Não
22°C
$15,577 Vol.
Sim
23°C
$17,130 Vol.
Não
24°C
$13,730 Vol.
Não
25°C
$4,617 Vol.
Não
26°C
$4,881 Vol.
Não
27°C ou mais
$6,555 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the near-certain outcome for Tokyo’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecast and ensemble model guidance.** A modest subtropical ridge combined with lingering Baiu-season cloud cover is limiting solar heating, producing daytime maxima consistent with 21–22°C at the Otemachi observation site—the official resolution source. This aligns with early-June climatology when frontal activity often caps temperatures several degrees below the monthly normal of ~26°C. The market-implied probability above 99% for 22°C incorporates real capital at risk and accounts for minor remaining uncertainty in afternoon mixing or localized clearing. An unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper ridge build could allow readings to reach 23–24°C, though current model consensus and ongoing JMA updates make such shifts unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$124,418Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the near-certain outcome for Tokyo’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecast and ensemble model guidance.** A modest subtropical ridge combined with lingering Baiu-season cloud cover is limiting solar heating, producing daytime maxima consistent with 21–22°C at the Otemachi observation site—the official resolution source. This aligns with early-June climatology when frontal activity often caps temperatures several degrees below the monthly normal of ~26°C. The market-implied probability above 99% for 22°C incorporates real capital at risk and accounts for minor remaining uncertainty in afternoon mixing or localized clearing. An unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper ridge build could allow readings to reach 23–24°C, though current model consensus and ongoing JMA updates make such shifts unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$124,418Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the near-certain outcome for Tokyo’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecast and ensemble model guidance.** A modest subtropical ridge combined with lingering Baiu-season cloud cover is limiting solar heating, producing daytime maxima consistent with 21–22°C at the Otemachi observation site—the official resolution source. This aligns with early-June climatology when frontal activity often caps temperatures several degrees below the monthly normal of ~26°C. The market-implied probability above 99% for 22°C incorporates real capital at risk and accounts for minor remaining uncertainty in afternoon mixing or localized clearing. An unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper ridge build could allow readings to reach 23–24°C, though current model consensus and ongoing JMA updates make such shifts unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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