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"Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office

icon for "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office

"Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office

Ended: mai 4

jun 8

jun 8

jun 8

jun 8

Ended: mai 4

jun 8

jun 8

jun 8

jun 8

6-7m 100.0%

<5m <1%

5-6m <1%

7-8m <1%

Polymarket

$16,101 Vol.

6-7m 100.0%

<5m <1%

5-6m <1%

7-8m <1%

Polymarket

$16,101 Vol.

<5m

$4,040 Vol.

No

5-6m

$838 Vol.

No

6-7m

$4,200 Vol.

Yes

7-8m

$3,635 Vol.

No

>8m

$3,388 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to how much "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon's indie horror Hokum, directed by Damian McCarthy and starring Adam Scott, locked in a $6.4 million domestic opening weekend across 1,885 screens, securing the No. 5 spot and leading specialty releases, per studio estimates reported May 3. Strong Thursday previews of $900K—the second-best ever for Neon—Friday haul of $2.6M, and a solid B CinemaScore fueled trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 6-7m bracket, reflecting positive word-of-mouth from its SXSW premiere and Certified Fresh status amid a competitive frame headlined by The Devil Wears Prada 2. Final tallies due Monday could prompt minor adjustments, but significant upsets like dipping below $6M or exceeding $7M appear unlikely given stable Saturday/Sunday holds.

This market will resolve according to how much "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$16,101
Data de Término
4 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to how much "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon's indie horror Hokum, directed by Damian McCarthy and starring Adam Scott, locked in a $6.4 million domestic opening weekend across 1,885 screens, securing the No. 5 spot and leading specialty releases, per studio estimates reported May 3. Strong Thursday previews of $900K—the second-best ever for Neon—Friday haul of $2.6M, and a solid B CinemaScore fueled trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 6-7m bracket, reflecting positive word-of-mouth from its SXSW premiere and Certified Fresh status amid a competitive frame headlined by The Devil Wears Prada 2. Final tallies due Monday could prompt minor adjustments, but significant upsets like dipping below $6M or exceeding $7M appear unlikely given stable Saturday/Sunday holds.

This market will resolve according to how much "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$16,101
Data de Término
4 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

""Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6-7m" at 100%, followed by "<5m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, ""Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office" has generated $16.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on ""Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for ""Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office" is "6-7m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<5m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for ""Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.