Trader consensus heavily favors Kanye West's "Bully" under 300k first-week equivalent album units at 82% implied probability, driven by his sharp sales decline—Vultures 1 moved just 148k units in March, Vultures 2 only 104k—amid ongoing controversies like antisemitic remarks and brand fallouts eroding mainstream appeal. Without major label backing or radio play, independent release dynamics and muted social buzz position 300k-400k (9%) as the next likeliest, buoyed by die-hard fan streams but capped by platform restrictions. Recent snippet drops on X sparked minor hype, yet projections from Hits Daily Double and early DSP data signal sub-200k pure sales, reinforcing bearish sentiment ahead of Friday's Billboard tracking close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoKanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
<300k 82%
300k-400k 9%
600k-700k 5.1%
800k-900k 4.1%
<300k
82%
300k-400k
9%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
2%
600k-700k
5%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
<300k 82%
300k-400k 9%
600k-700k 5.1%
800k-900k 4.1%
<300k
82%
300k-400k
9%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
2%
600k-700k
5%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Kanye West's "Bully" under 300k first-week equivalent album units at 82% implied probability, driven by his sharp sales decline—Vultures 1 moved just 148k units in March, Vultures 2 only 104k—amid ongoing controversies like antisemitic remarks and brand fallouts eroding mainstream appeal. Without major label backing or radio play, independent release dynamics and muted social buzz position 300k-400k (9%) as the next likeliest, buoyed by die-hard fan streams but capped by platform restrictions. Recent snippet drops on X sparked minor hype, yet projections from Hits Daily Double and early DSP data signal sub-200k pure sales, reinforcing bearish sentiment ahead of Friday's Billboard tracking close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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