Moonshot AI is actively sourcing additional Nvidia Blackwell chips to train Kimi K4, the planned successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 released in mid-July 2026. This effort follows K3’s strong benchmark showing on coding and agentic tasks, where it rivaled or exceeded several closed frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic while offering open weights under a custom license. U.S. export-control scrutiny and recent allegations of model distillation have complicated hardware access, yet Moonshot’s rapid cadence—K2.6 in April, K3 in July—suggests continued momentum toward a larger MoE architecture. Traders are watching for official model-card details, API pricing, or developer-conference announcements that could clarify a 2026 release window versus a longer timeline shaped by compute constraints.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKimi K4 lançado por...?
Kimi K4 lançado por...?
$17,814 Vol.
31 out 2026
31 de outubro de 2026
4%
31 de dezembro de 2026
5%
$17,814 Vol.
31 de outubro de 2026
$9,489 Vol.
4%
31 de dezembro de 2026
$8,325 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI is actively sourcing additional Nvidia Blackwell chips to train Kimi K4, the planned successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 released in mid-July 2026. This effort follows K3’s strong benchmark showing on coding and agentic tasks, where it rivaled or exceeded several closed frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic while offering open weights under a custom license. U.S. export-control scrutiny and recent allegations of model distillation have complicated hardware access, yet Moonshot’s rapid cadence—K2.6 in April, K3 in July—suggests continued momentum toward a larger MoE architecture. Traders are watching for official model-card details, API pricing, or developer-conference announcements that could clarify a 2026 release window versus a longer timeline shaped by compute constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$17,814Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI is actively sourcing additional Nvidia Blackwell chips to train Kimi K4, the planned successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 released in mid-July 2026. This effort follows K3’s strong benchmark showing on coding and agentic tasks, where it rivaled or exceeded several closed frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic while offering open weights under a custom license. U.S. export-control scrutiny and recent allegations of model distillation have complicated hardware access, yet Moonshot’s rapid cadence—K2.6 in April, K3 in July—suggests continued momentum toward a larger MoE architecture. Traders are watching for official model-card details, API pricing, or developer-conference announcements that could clarify a 2026 release window versus a longer timeline shaped by compute constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$17,814Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI is actively sourcing additional Nvidia Blackwell chips to train Kimi K4, the planned successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 released in mid-July 2026. This effort follows K3’s strong benchmark showing on coding and agentic tasks, where it rivaled or exceeded several closed frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic while offering open weights under a custom license. U.S. export-control scrutiny and recent allegations of model distillation have complicated hardware access, yet Moonshot’s rapid cadence—K2.6 in April, K3 in July—suggests continued momentum toward a larger MoE architecture. Traders are watching for official model-card details, API pricing, or developer-conference announcements that could clarify a 2026 release window versus a longer timeline shaped by compute constraints.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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