Real Madrid's dominant home record at Santiago Bernabéu and superior La Liga standing as runners-up behind Barcelona drive trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability on their victory against 12th-placed Girona, despite recent 2-1 loss to Mallorca denting title hopes. Key absences including Thibaut Courtois (thigh), Rodrygo (muscle), and Ferland Mendy (muscle) from yesterday's injury report force Andriy Lunin into goal and adjustments like Trent Alexander-Arnold at right-back, yet squad depth prevails. Girona, hampered by season-ending cruciate ligament tear to top scorer Vladyslav Vanat and other knocks like Cristhian Stuani's thigh issue, hold slim 9.5% upset chance amid their mid-table form and historical 8-3 H2H deficit to Real Madrid. Draw priced at 15.5% reflects Girona's solid away first-half resilience but limited overall threat.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIf Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 28, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 28, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real Madrid's dominant home record at Santiago Bernabéu and superior La Liga standing as runners-up behind Barcelona drive trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability on their victory against 12th-placed Girona, despite recent 2-1 loss to Mallorca denting title hopes. Key absences including Thibaut Courtois (thigh), Rodrygo (muscle), and Ferland Mendy (muscle) from yesterday's injury report force Andriy Lunin into goal and adjustments like Trent Alexander-Arnold at right-back, yet squad depth prevails. Girona, hampered by season-ending cruciate ligament tear to top scorer Vladyslav Vanat and other knocks like Cristhian Stuani's thigh issue, hold slim 9.5% upset chance amid their mid-table form and historical 8-3 H2H deficit to Real Madrid. Draw priced at 15.5% reflects Girona's solid away first-half resilience but limited overall threat.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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