Hong Kong Observatory forecasts peg the day's minimum temperature at 27°C under a persistent broad low-pressure trough delivering cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwest winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current observations across stations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid high humidity (70–95%) and limited clear-sky periods, aligning with climatological August baselines for the region. Trader consensus at 95.5% for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing unsettled conditions that suppress further drops. A shift to clearer skies or localized drainage winds could allow brief cooling toward 26°C, though forecast continuity through the evening makes such deviation improbable before daily minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 22 de agosto?
27°C 96%
26°C 4%
25°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,847 Vol.
$35,847 Vol.
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
96%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 96%
26°C 4%
25°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,847 Vol.
$35,847 Vol.
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
96%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts peg the day's minimum temperature at 27°C under a persistent broad low-pressure trough delivering cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwest winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current observations across stations show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid high humidity (70–95%) and limited clear-sky periods, aligning with climatological August baselines for the region. Trader consensus at 95.5% for exactly 27°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing unsettled conditions that suppress further drops. A shift to clearer skies or localized drainage winds could allow brief cooling toward 26°C, though forecast continuity through the evening makes such deviation improbable before daily minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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