Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 2 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 2 de julho?
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$30,910 Vol.
$30,910 Vol.
2 jul 2026
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Sim
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Não
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$30,910 Vol.
$30,910 Vol.
2 jul 2026
12°C ou menos
$1,671 Vol.
Não
13°C
$920 Vol.
Não
14°C
$2,024 Vol.
Não
15°C
$1,194 Vol.
Não
16°C
$2,032 Vol.
Não
17°C
$6,470 Vol.
Sim
18°C
$6,167 Vol.
Não
19°C
$3,161 Vol.
Não
20°C
$3,509 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,981 Vol.
Não
22°C ou mais
$1,780 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$30,910Data de Término
2 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,910Data de Término
2 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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