High pressure and a warm southerly airmass over southern England suppressed overnight radiative cooling, anchoring Met Office and ensemble model guidance for a London minimum near 17 °C at the official London City Airport station on May 26. This setup produced the market’s near-certain 17 °C outcome by limiting heat loss under clear skies and light winds typical of the current heatwave pattern. Historical May overnight lows in London average 8–12 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the anomalous southerly flow rather than typical spring conditions. Only a late forecast shift introducing stronger winds or unexpected cloud cover could have altered the reading, though no such change materialized in the final model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLowest temperature in London on May 26?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$35,704 Vol.
$35,704 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$35,704 Vol.
$35,704 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
High pressure and a warm southerly airmass over southern England suppressed overnight radiative cooling, anchoring Met Office and ensemble model guidance for a London minimum near 17 °C at the official London City Airport station on May 26. This setup produced the market’s near-certain 17 °C outcome by limiting heat loss under clear skies and light winds typical of the current heatwave pattern. Historical May overnight lows in London average 8–12 °C, so the elevated baseline reflects the anomalous southerly flow rather than typical spring conditions. Only a late forecast shift introducing stronger winds or unexpected cloud cover could have altered the reading, though no such change materialized in the final model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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