Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 11 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Miami em 11 de julho?
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,830 Vol.
$47,830 Vol.
11 jul 2026
71°F ou menos
Não
72-73°F
Sim
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86-87°F
Não
88-89°F
Não
90°F ou mais
Não
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,830 Vol.
$47,830 Vol.
11 jul 2026
71°F ou menos
$6,161 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$5,507 Vol.
Sim
74-75°F
$6,529 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$4,797 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$2,420 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$6,377 Vol.
Não
82-83°F
$5,919 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$5,126 Vol.
Não
86-87°F
$1,930 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$1,195 Vol.
Não
90°F ou mais
$1,870 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$47,830Data de Término
11 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,830Data de Término
11 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions