Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 12 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Miami em 12 de julho?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F ou menos <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$13,272 Vol.
$13,272 Vol.
12 jul 2026
73°F ou menos
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Sim
86-87°F
Não
88-89°F
Não
32-33°C
Não
92°F ou mais
Não
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F ou menos <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$13,272 Vol.
$13,272 Vol.
12 jul 2026
73°F ou menos
$1,161 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$1,437 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$1,586 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$1,641 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$1,551 Vol.
Não
82-83°F
$1,206 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$1,755 Vol.
Sim
86-87°F
$655 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$968 Vol.
Não
32-33°C
$727 Vol.
Não
92°F ou mais
$587 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$13,272Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,272Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions